Ethiopia Food Security Outlook January to June 2013
Some eastern areas face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) levels of food insecurity
• Below average crop and livestock production, high above average staple food prices, and declines in income will cause food security deterioration in East and West Hararghe Zones, Siti (formerly Shinile), some parts in Nogob (formerly Fik), Shebelle (formerly Gode), Afder, and Liben Zones of Somali Region, and the northeastern part of Afar between January and June.
• Despite the slight seasonal decline in food prices following the start of the October to January Meher harvest, staple food prices are still higher than last year and the five-year average. They are expected to increase further from April to June during the main lean season in Belg-producing areas. This will decrease household purchasing capacity, and households will be very market dependent at that time.
• Overall Meher grain production at national level is forecast to increase by five percent compared to last year, according to the Government of Ethiopia. The overall good production is mainly attributed to the normal to above normal June to September Kiremt rains, particularly in the western and central surplus-producing areas. However, poor crop performance was reported in many agricultural, eastern parts of the country, which largely remain food insecure.