Early Warning and Response Analysis, August 2014
EARLY WARNING AND RESPONSE SUMMARY
The Rift Valley areas in areas where deficient rainfall was observed during the preceding decades will have better rainfall during the coming August 2014.
Kiremt benefiting areas of Tigray, Amhara, Benishangul Gumuz, Gambela, northern parts of SNNPR and most parts of Oromiya will have normal to above normal rainfall with a chance of heavy falls at places which would cause flash floods over low-lying areas and near riverbanks including in areas where the soils have poor peculation capacity. Therefore, appropriate prevention measures should be undertaken by the concerned bodies ahead of time in order to minimize the consequence of flood hazard.
A chance of below normal rainfall condition in some localities where near normal rainfall is expected (eastern Oromiya, southern parts of SNNPR, highlands of southern Oromiya, Afar,
Harari, Dire Dawa and northern Somali). Therefore, proper water harvesting techniques and cultural practices should be designed ahead of time in order to use the expected moisture efficiently over the above mentioned areas.
The TFP admissions in 2014 are consistently lower than those reported in the last three years despite the relatively larger number of reporting sites in 2014.
Two out of three Bi-annual survey results conducted in Somali region and one ad-hoc survey undertaken in Afar region indicated serious to critical level nutrition situation as per national guideline classification system.
Close monitoring of the evolving nutrition situation is recommended in Afar, Oromiya and Somali regions.