Afghanistan Food Security Outlook Update January 2014
Households have above-average food stocks as the 2013/2014 lean season gets underway
- The largely favorable climactic conditions for the second year in row created adequate food supply and income sources that has led to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food security outcomes from January through June 2014 in most parts of the country. Despite the current wet season’s below normal performance to date, the forecast for the remainder of the 2013/2014 wet season is expected to be near normal.
- For areas in the Western Central highlands affected by harvest losses, food security outcomes from January to March are expected to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) as usual seasonal food sources will be replaced by external assistance. Food security outcomes are expected to improve from April through June 2014 to be Minimal (IPC Phase 1!) as seasonal livelihood activities resume with continued external assistance.
- Food security outcomes for new internally displaced households are expected to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) from January through June 2014 given they will rely entirely on humanitarian assistance and not on their usual food and income sources. Households not receiving assistance during winter will likely shift to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) from January to March when income earning opportunities reach their seasonal low.