Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook December 12 – December 18, 2013

Map
from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 11 Dec 2013

Below-average rainfall was observed in eastern Southern Africa during the past week, exacerbating dryness over parts of Zambia, Malawi, and Mozambique.

1) Although local areas of equatorial eastern Africa have received increased rainfall over the past few weeks, poor rainfall performance since the beginning of the October has led to large moisture deficits over central Kenya and southern Somalia. This dryness is likely to negatively impact the development of crops and pastoral conditions, with little opportunity for recovery before the end of the rainy season.

2) During November, below-average rainfall has resulted in growing moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions over many local areas of west-central Tanzania. However, heavy rains are expected to continue during the next week, which could help to relieve dryness over the region.

3) A prolonged delay of the onset of the rainy season and an erratic rainfall distribution during November have resulted in developing dryness across eastern Zambia, southern Malawi, and western Mozambique. Moderate to locally heavy rains are forecast over eastern Southern Africa during the next week, which could help to alleviate dryness in the region.