Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET December 27, 2012 – January 2, 2013
Torrential rains continued for a second week across northern Mozambique, Zambia and Malawi.
Locally heavy daily rains impacted parts of Kenya.
1) Moisture deficits remain following a mid-season dry spell that occurred in early November in northern Kenya and southern Somalia and recent drier than average conditions for much of eastern Africa. With a shortened recovery period in the next several weeks for northern Kenya and southern Somalia and an extended period of dryness for southern Kenya and northeastern Tanzania, this could result in a deterioration of pastoral and agro-pastoral conditions.
2) An extended delayed start to the monsoon season across eastern parts of southern Africa has resulted in a 1-3 dekad delay in seasonal rains across southern Mozambique and Zimbabwe. Consistent rainfall, spatially and temporally, has yet to occur across this region resulting in poor vegetative conditions at the start of the season. With rains expected to be limited and below-average during the next week, continued dryness and increasing seasonal deficits could negatively impact cropping activities.