Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook October 24 – October 30, 2013
Localized heavy rain showers were observed across central Somalia.
1) Since June, insufficient and poorly-distributed rainfall has led to large rainfall deficits across the Gulf of Guinea countries and has reduced maize yields in Ghana, southern Togo and in southwestern Nigeria. Although seasonal rainfall has increased during the second peak of the bi-modal rainfall season, below-average thirty and sixty day rainfall totals have continued in Nigeria and coastal areas in Togo and Benin, maintaining drought conditions. However, impacts in southwestern Nigeria are not significant as most crops have already been harvested. Below-average rainfall is forecast during the next week.
2) Anomalous lower level wind convergence is likely to cause torrential rain across isolated portions of central Somalia for a second consecutive week. These heavy rains could result in localized flash flooding in the Nugaal, Mudug, Galguduud, Hiiraan and Middle Shabelle regions of central Somalia.