Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook June 12 – June 18, 2014

Map
from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 11 Jun 2014
  • Rainfall deficits have increased over portions of West Africa.
  • Slightly reduced rains observed in Eastern Africa.

1) Poor rainfall distribution during the March-May rainfall season had negatively impacted agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northeastern Uganda, southeastern South Sudan, and northwestern Tanzania. Although some areas could still receive enhanced rains over the next week, the ending rainy season could worsen conditions further on the ground.

2) Frequent and above-average rainfall since May has resulted in oversaturation of the grounds of many regions of the far western West Africa, including Guinea Conakry, Sierra Leone, Liberia, southern Mali, and western Cote d’Ivoire. An increased chance for heavy rains remains during the next week, sustaining elevated risks for localized flooding.

3) Poorly distributed rainfall since mid-April had led to a rapid deterioration of ground conditions throughout portions of southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and northwestern Tanzania. As seasonal rainfall is expected to decrease in June, sustained moisture deficits are likely to negatively impact cropping activities in the region.