Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET December 6 – December 12, 2012

1) Moisture deficits remain following a mid-season dry spell that occurred in early November and recent drier than average conditions. With a shortened recovery period in the next several weeks, this could result in a deterioration of pastoral and agro-pastoral conditions, and possible crop yield reductions by the end of season throughout parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya and eastern Tanzania.

2) Combined with a poor rainfall performance from last year, low and poorly distributed rainfall in November has resulted in early season dryness throughout parts of Botswana, Lesotho, Swaziland, and the Free State, Eastern Cape, Mpumalanga, and North West States of South Africa. The prolonged absence of moisture stemming from the last rainy season may lead to a significant reduction in water availability, livestock losses, and may negatively affect crop production.