Attachments
Analysis
Weather conditions have remained favourable across agricultural areas in the region. Vegetation conditions in agricultural areas remain better than the same time period for the previous year, and also better than the 15 year average. Some negative response is detected in the central areas of Iraq (especially when compared to the same time period in 2014), where the planting season has been disrupted by conflict, with wheat production still expected to be significantly lower than previous years.
In Syria, a recovery of agricultural production is still expected compared to the dry period of 2014. It however remains to be seen how conflict and access to inputs will affect the harvest. Once the harvest is conducted, access to markets will potentially be affected by conflict. Vegetation conditions in southern Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan and Kurdistan suggest good establishment of crops, with Turkey and Kurdistan expecting higher than average harvests, although production could still be affected in Kurdistan due to conflict.