Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET- July 19 – July 25, 2012
1) The five-week delay in the onset of the March-May seasonal rainfall and the erratic and below-average nature of the Kiremt rains have significantly impacted ground moisture and cropping activities in the central region of Ethiopia. Although rainfall has been consistent in the western parts of the country since the middle of May, accumulated rainfall has been well below-average since the start of the Kiremt rainy season in June. Another week of increased rainfall is forecast during the next seven days which will continue to help reduce moisture deficits and aid cropping activities in the region.
2) Three consecutive weeks of above-average heavy rains observed across western Sudan and eastern Chad have caused localized flash floods resulting in fatalities, damages to infrastructure and the loss of cattle. With additional heavy rain forecast for the next week, flash flooding risks will be elevated.
3) Torrential coastal rain showers across far western West Africa have resulted in flash flooding in Sierra Leone. With several easterly waves forecast, there is an increased chance for flooding during the next week.