Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook October 17 – October 23, 2013

Map
from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 16 Oct 2013

1) Since June, insufficient and poorly-distributed rainfall has led to large rainfall deficits across the Gulf of Guinea countries and has reduced maize yields in Ghana, southern Togo and in southwestern Nigeria. Although seasonal rainfall has increased during the second peak of the bi-modal rainfall season, below average thirty and sixty day rainfall totals have continued. Average rainfall is forecast during the next week.

2) Anomalous lower level wind convergence is likely to cause torrential rain across central Somalia. At the start of the Deyr rainy season, this region of Somalia is still dry. Heavy rains could result in localized flash flooding.