Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET December 26, 2012 – January 1, 2013
During the middle period of December, much below normal temperatures spread across Central Asia, with significant (< -8 degrees Celsius) negative anomalies over portions of Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and southern Kazakhstan. Below-average temperatures have also persisted throughout the central highlands and northeast mountains of Afghanistan. During the next week, colder than average temperatures are forecast to continue throughout central and northeastern Afghanistan, where minimum temperature could fall between -30 and -25 degrees Celsius.
Enhanced precipitation over the past two weeks has contributed to the erosion of early-season deficits in eastern Tajikistan and eastern Afghanistan. However, weak to moderate (-50 to -25 mm) negative anomalies remained over portions of Uzbekistan, western Tajikistan, and northern Afghanistan during the past thirty days. During the next week, widespread precipitation is forecast to continue over Central Asia, with light to moderate snowfall throughout Tajikistan, the northern two-thirds of Afghanistan, and northern Pakistan.