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Global Weather Hazards Summary October 24-30, 2014

Second-season dryness continues in Haiti, flooding risks remain in Central America and South Sudan

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. As the rainy season in Senegal comes to an end and harvesting begins, reduced crop yields due to this summer’s poorly distributed rainfall and delayed onset of the rainy season in July could become evident.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary October 17-23, 2014

Dryness remains in Haiti, while flooding risks continue in South Sudan, Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Despite a return of seasonally normal rainfall during August, moisture deficits persist in northwestern Senegal. The delayed onset of the season in July has resulted in poor growing conditions and crop development.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary October 10-16, 2014

  1. Despite a return of seasonally normal rainfall during August, moisture deficits persist in northwestern Senegal. The delayed onset of the season in July has resulted in poor growing conditions and crop development.

  2. Poor July rains in several local areas of Mali have resulted in poor crop and pastoral conditions. August and September rains have improved ground conditions, although the rainy season is quickly coming to a close.

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Crop Prospects and Food Situation, No. 3, October 2014

HIGHLIGHTS

  • The forecast for global cereal production in 2014 has been raised closer to last year’s record, which is expected to boost inventories to a multi-year high.

  • Export prices of wheat and maize decreased further in September to multiyear lows, driven by expectations of large global supplies in 2014/15. Even rice prices, which had been rising in previous months, fell in September.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary October 3-9, 2014

Above-average rains continue in Central America, dryness remains in several parts of East and West Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops in the Arsi and West Arsi zones of central Ethiopia.

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CrisisWatch N°134 - 1 October 2014

The U.S. expanded its aerial campaign against Islamic State (IS) militants in late September with strikes in Syria’s north and east. The operation, which targets both IS and fighters linked to al-Qaeda’s central leadership and the affiliated group Jabhat al-Nusra, risks alienating other rebel groups in Syria and strengthening support for IS.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary September 26 - October 2, 2014 

Rainfall improving in Latin America, with dryness ongoing in parts of West Africa and Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi areas of central Ethiopia.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary - September 19 - 25, 2014

Above-average rainfall improves conditions across Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and hurt the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi areas of central Ethiopia.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary - September 12 - 18, 2014

Dryness remains despite improved rains in Latin America and Haiti

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and hurt the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi areas of central Ethiopia.

  2. An early cessation of Mar-May seasonal rainfall and an abnormally dry July has hurt crop and pasture conditions in parts of central and northern Ethiopia.

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CrisisWatch N°133 - 1 September 2014

The fight for control of Libya between the Misrata-led Islamist-leaning coalition and the Zintan-led forces is escalating by the day. Hundreds have been killed and thousands displaced in over six weeks of clashes and heavy artillery fire. The Misrata side emerged victorious in the battle over Tripoli’s international airport, taking control of the capital, and made advances around Benghazi, but the larger political divide remains unresolved.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary August 29 - September 4, 2014

Rainfall expected to alleviate some dryness in Central America and Haiti

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and hurt the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi areas of central Ethiopia.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary August 22-28, 2014

Dryness expected to continue in much of Central America, Haiti, and Central Asia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since early June, poor rainfall distribution has delayed planting and hurt crop development in northeastern Nigeria. Although an increase in rainfall was observed recently, continued favorable rainfall amounts are needed to overcome long-term deficits.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary August 15-21, 2014

preview

Severe dryness persists in Latin America and Haiti, with flooding in Sudan and South Sudan

  1. Since early June, seasonal rainfall has been below average and infrequent across northeastern Nigeria, leading to growing moisture deficits. While there is a chance for some relief with increased rainfall forecast during the upcoming outlook period, abnormally dry ground conditions are expected to persist, which still may negatively impact developing crops later into the season.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary August 8-14, 2014

Severe dryness continues across Latin America and Haiti, with dryness and flooding in parts of Africa

  1. Since early June, seasonal rainfall has been below average and infrequent across northeastern Nigeria, leading to growing moisture deficits. While there is a chance for some relief with increased rainfall forecast during the upcoming outlook period, anomalously dry ground conditions are expected to persist, which still may negatively impact developing crops later into the season.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary July 18-24, 2014

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Above-average rain during the past 30 days has saturated ground conditions and caused localized flooding in parts of South Sudan and southern Sudan. Above-average rains forecast during the next week are expected to increase the risk of localized flash flooding
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Global Weather Hazards Summary July 11-17, 2014

Flooding possible in Mali, Sudan, and South Sudan; dryness continues in Central America and Haiti

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Heavy and above-average rains since May has oversaturated ground conditions in southern Mali and resulted in rainfall surpluses greater than 200 percent of normal in some locations. With heavy rain forecast for the next week, the risk for new flooding across the region will be increased.

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Global June 2014 Price Watch and Annex

Key Messages

  • In West Africa, 2013/14 grain harvests were near-average in the Sahel and trade flows and market supplies were average in May. Below-average production in Mauritania, eastern Niger, and northern Chad resulted in atypical price increases. Rice imports from international markets contributed food availability in coastal countries.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary June 20-26, 2014

Dryness continues in East Africa, Honduras and Nicaragua, with flooding possible in West Africa and Guatemala

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poor rainfall distribution during the March-May rainfall season hurt agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northeastern Uganda, southeastern South Sudan, and northwestern Tanzania. Southern Ethiopia and northwestern Kenya are forecast to receive limited rains during the next week, which could sustain poor agricultural and pastoral conditions.

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Global Weather Hazards Summary June 13-19, 2014

Dryness continues in parts of East Africa, Central America and Haiti; flooding in Guatemala and West Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poor rainfall distribution during March-May rainfall season hurt agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northwestern Tanzania. Although some areas could still receive enhanced rains over the next week, the ending rainy season could further worsen ground conditions.