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28 Aug 2015 description

Increased rainfall across Hispaniola due to tropical storm activity

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Widespread, heavy rainfall over the past few weeks has caused flooding over local areas of West Africa. Heavy rain is forecast to continue during the next week, elevating flooding risks over many already saturated areas.

  2. Significant rainfall is forecast to continue over eastern Chad and western Sudan, heightening risks for localized flooding and potential waterborne disease outbreaks.

26 Aug 2015 description
  • Abundant rain has continued across a wide portion of West Africa.

  • Despite a recent increase in rain, seasonal deficits have persisted over parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Although an increase in rain has been observed over Eastern Africa during the past few weeks, seasonal deficits have persisted in south-central and eastern Sudan, western Eritrea, and northeastern Ethiopia due to the delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution to the June-September season.

21 Aug 2015 description

Key Points

  • The pastoral lean season continues despite improved rainfall in end of July 2015 in the pastoral zone.
  • The agricultural campaign is off to a slow start due to a persistent lack of rainfall in the Sahel.
  • The prolonged conflict and civil insecurity in Nigeria and Mali continue to cause population movements. - The FAO index of food prices worldwide is at its lowest level since six years.
21 Aug 2015 description

Poorly distributed rainfall in West and East Africa likely to exacerbate conditions

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Widespread, heavy rain during the past few weeks has caused flooding over local areas of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. Heavy rain is forecast to continue during the next week, maintaining elevated risks for flooding over many areas.

18 Aug 2015 description

Despite good July rainfall, concern continues for areas where the season started significantly late

KEY MESSAGES

  • Continued northward migration of the Intertropical Front (ITF) has been observed during the past several weeks. The ITF has stayed at or north of its climatological position over most of the region during the last month and a half, resulting in aboveaverage rainfall over large portions of the Sahelian zone.

18 Aug 2015 description

L'Essentiel

  • La soudure pastorale perdure malgré l’amélioration des précipitations en fin juillet 2015 dans la zone pastorale.

  • La campagne agricole tarde à prendre une allure normale en raison d’une persistance du déficit pluviométrique dans la zone sahélienne.

  • La poursuite des conflits et de l’insécurité civile au Nigeria et au Mali continuent à occasionner les mouvements de population.

  • L'indice FAO des prix des produits alimentaires au niveau mondial est à son plus bas niveau depuis six ans.

07 Aug 2015 description

Heavy rainfall forecast for flood-affected areas of West Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. A slightly delayed start to the season has resulted in abnormal dryness for Gambia and central areas of Senegal. Dry ground conditions have reportedly led to delayed planting and have negatively impacted the health of livestock.

  2. Heavy downpours have caused flooding and fatalities in Conakry, Guinea during the past week. Torrential rain is forecast to continue during the next week, which could worsen conditions on the grounds.

05 Aug 2015 description

Water is essential to human development and prosperity, but many people still live without reliable access to it. As the number of people in the world increases, water scarcity is forecast to worsen. The Safeguarding the World’s Water report documents USAID’s water sector activities that address key global challenges during fiscal year 2014. The report also shares progress made during the first year of implementing its Water and Development Strategy.

31 Jul 2015 description

Above-average temperatures and rainfall lead to flooding in Central Asia

[Extract]

Central Asia Weather Hazards

  1. High temperatures during the first half of July have led to mudflows and flooding, damaging infrastructure and displacing populations across eastern Tajikistan.

30 Jul 2015 description

Highlights

· FAO’s global cereal price index continued to fall in Q2-2015, down 19 percent year-on-year.

· The real price of wheat dropped a further 9 percent over the last quarter. Prices are 33 percent lower than in Q2-2014, thanks to increased global supply and lower consumption.

· The real price of maize has fallen by 3 percent since Q1-2015 and is 21 percent lower than inQ2-2014. However, global production for 2015/16 is set to be lower and thus prices are likely to rise.

29 Jul 2015 description

Abnormally wet conditions are continuing for several nations in the western Gulf of Guinea region

Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and parts of Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

24 Jul 2015 description

Increased rainfall unlikely to overcome deficits in Central America, Hispaniola, and parts of West Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. A slightly delayed start to the season with sporadic light rains in recent weeks has resulted in abnormal dryness for Gambia and central areas of Senegal. Dry ground conditions have led to delayed planting and have negatively impacted livestock health.

22 Jul 2015 description

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 23 – 30, 2015

  • A delayed onset of rainfall is leading to abnormally dry conditions in Chad as well as Senegal and Gambia.

  • Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

21 Jul 2015 description

Highlights

  • The West Africa growing season of 2015 is developing under an evolving El Nino event that will peak in late 2015. Historically, this region shows significant linkages between El Nino events and seasonal rainfall deficits particularly in the more marginal areas.

  • The first stages of the season were marked by rainfall deficits across the entire region that have led to delays in the start of the growing season and poor conditions for early crop development.

17 Jul 2015 description

Drought develops over Central America, dryness persists in East and West Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, has led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the central and northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria. The lack of rainfall over the past several weeks has delayed planting and negatively affected cropping activities over many local areas.

15 Jul 2015 description

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 16 – 22, 2015

  • Moisture increases for portions of the Senegal region; dry areas farther east show little improvement.

  • Moisture deficits deepen in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

13 Jul 2015 description

L’ESSENTIEL

  • L’arrivée tardive des pluies entraîne la prolongation de la soudure pastorale et le retard du dé-marrage de la campagne agricole.

  • L’indice FAO des prix des produits alimentaires est tombé à son plus bas niveau depuis septembre 2009.

  • La disponibilité globale de céréales demeure satisfaisante dans la plupart des marchés de la région, cependant on observe les premières hausses des prix avec le début de la période de soudure.

10 Jul 2015 description

Irregular rainfall to persist in Central America and Hispaniola; dryness worsens in West Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, has led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria. The lack of rainfall over the past several weeks has delayed planting and negatively affected cropping activities over parts of this region.

08 Jul 2015 description
  • Rains increase for Nigeria and far Western Africa during the past week.

  • Local parts of southeast Sudan and northwest Ethiopia exhibit increasing rainfall deficits in recent weeks.