HIGHLIGHTS

Mozambique:

Since the beginning of a cholera outbreak in Mozambique in early January 2013, a total of 1,861 cases and 19 deaths have been recorded nationally as at 31 May 2013 (CFR=1%). The outbreak is considered over all provinces except Niassa, although zero cases have been reported there during the past few weeks.

Madagascar:

Desert Locust swarms invade northern Yemen

The March to May rains ended with generally favorable crop and livestock production prospects

KEY MESSAGES

• Cumulative March to May rainfall amounts were normal to above normal in most of East Africa. In particular, the rains were 200 to 400 percent above average in parts of southern and central Somalia, southeastern Ethiopia, localized areas of central Kenya, and northeastern Tanzania.

Despite control operations, adult groups and small swarms formed and are expected to move to the northern Sahel and breed with the onset of the summer rains, causing locust numbers to increase further.

En ce début de saison sèche, la situation acridienne est marquée notamment par la mobilité des essaims, tant dans l'Aire grégarigène que dans l'Aire d'Invasion. Leur taille moyenne est de l'ordre de 800 ha. Le sens de leur déplacement s'effectue suivant la direction du vent et tend souvent à remonter vers le Nord/Nord-Ouest.

There are several seasonal rainfall prediction products estimating the probability that precipitation will be above or below the long-term average during a particular season. Each product employs a slightly different methodology; hence, the results often differ amongst products. A general analysis of the main products is presented for July to September 2013, which corresponds to the summer breeding period for the Desert Locust.

Western Region

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

HIGHLIGHTS

• Madagascar:

The first round of presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on 24 July 2013. No decision yet on whether it will be postponed or not.

• Namibia:

On 17 May 2013 the President declared a national drought emergency and called for assistance from international community. An estimated 330,925 people have now been classified as food insecure - 14 percent of Namibia's 2,324 million people (total population)