- Vulnerability Assessment Committee (ZimVAC) 2014 Rural Livelihoods Assessment
- Zimbabwe: Waiting for the Future (Africa Briefing N°103)
- FEWS NET Food Security Outlook Update, September 2014
- Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey 2014
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According to FEWSNET, regional cereal production estimates for 2013/14 show an increased availability by 17 per cent above last year and 19 per cent above the past five-year average. Cereal production is also 2 per cent above the regional annual requirements.
In Focus: Southern Africa Climate Outlook
The SADC Regional Climate Outlook for the rainfall season 2014/15 predicts normal to above-normal rainfall for most of the region this rainfall season (October 2014 to March 2015).
On 28 August a swarm of locusts invaded the capital Antananarivo. No significant crop damage has been reported, but the situation draws attention to the need for continued support for the three-year anti-locust campaign, which faces a funding gap of US$ 10 million.
The South African Government has placed an immediate ban on the entry of non-South Africans from the Ebola-hit West African countries of Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone.
The Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF), taking place from 27 to 29 August in Windhoek, Namibia, will develop the first regional seasonal forecast for the coming rainfall season.
Two cases of Ebola have been confirmed in northern DRC, which are said to be a different strain to the outbreak in West Africa.
At the SADC Regional Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis meeting in early July, the following information was presented:
For the 11 countries for which crop production data was available, cereal harvest increased by 15 per cent from 33.5 million tons in 2013 to 38.7 million tons in 2014. This is also 20 per cent above the five-year average.
A Cabinet Commission Review found that during the 2013/2014 flood season, all provinces with the exception of Namibe recorded rains with considerable material and human damage, including the destruction of 6,317 houses, affecting more than 70,000 people.
Locally heavy rainfall may ease moisture deficits in parts of western Angola
Africa Weather Hazards
- Poorly distributed seasonal rainfall since February has led to deteriorating ground conditions in western Angola. These long-term moisture deficits may negatively impact developing crops and pastoral areas. However, precipitation forecasts indicate the potential for locally heavy rainfall in the Benguela and Cuanza Sul provinces, which may provide some relief to moisture stress in the country.
Average to above average seasonal rainfall continues throughout many parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
The weakening of precipitation associated with the departure of the monsoon was observed across southern Africa.
- The continued suppression of rainfall suggests an early cessation of the monsoon over parts of southern Africa.
- Increased rains observed over the Afar and highland regions of Ethiopia during late March.
1) Heavy and above-average rains over the past few weeks have increased rainfall surpluses and resulted in flooding across the Omusati region along the Angola-Namibian border. The inundation has led to the closure of several schools in the area. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast to continue during the next week.
A decrease in rainfall has been recorded over Southern Africa during the past week.
A favorable start of the March-May season has been observed over the Greater Horn of Africa.
Rains maintain flooding and ground saturation risks throughout southern Africa
Africa Weather Hazards
1.Heavy rains over the past several weeks have destroyed houses, damaged infrastructure, and displaced local residents over the Kitwe region of north-central Zambia. Moderate to heavy rains forecast during the next week could maintain elevated risks for localized flooding over many areas of the region.
A favorable distribution of rainfall was observed over Southern Africa during the past week.
Widespread and above-average rains fell across the Greater Horn of Africa during the past week.
1) Heavy downpours over the past few weeks have caused the overflowing of the Licungo River across the Zambezia province of northern Mozambique. The flooding has negatively affected the livelihoods of many residents of the Namacura and Maganja da Costa districts. Light rains are expected during the next week, which could sustain oversaturation and worsen conditions on the ground.
Flood risks remain for parts of south-eastern Africa
Heavy rains during the past week have destroyed houses, damaged infrastructure, and displaced local residents near Kitwe in north-central Zambia. Moderate to heavy rains are expected to continue during the next outlook period, which could trigger new flooding and worsen ground conditions.
Heavy downpours have caused flooding in north-central Zambia, southern Zimbabwe, and northern Mozambique.
Light to moderate rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during the past observation period.
1) Heavy downpours during the past week have caused the Licungo River to burst its banks, inundating expansive cropping areas, infrastructure, and houses downstream. Although reduced rains are forecast over the region during the next week, any additional rain may exacerbate the ground conditions, including elevated risks for waterborne disease outbreaks.
As of 3 March 2014, 39 cholera cases and 3 deaths have been reported in Katutura, Windhoek. All patients have been discharged from the hospitals. The Red Cross is busy erecting tents for the CTCs and has requested DDRM to assist with better and stronger tents; as well as expertise from the National Defence Force to assist in putting up tents. Needs identified include provision/distribution of water purification sachets to communities, improved active surveillance of new cases and strengthening of the prevention campaign in different languages and media.