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28 Jan 2015 description

Suppressed seasonal rains over southeastern Africa expected to provide relief to saturated ground conditions.

Mid-seasonal dry spells experienced throughout several parts of Angola, Namibia, and Zimbabwe.

24 Jan 2015 description

Flooding remains likely in southeastern Africa during the next week

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Although average rains fell over the Greater Horn of Africa in late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season, combined with an erratic distribution of rains, has resulted in poor ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

21 Jan 2015 description
  • Heavy, flood inducing rainfall continued over southeastern Africa during the last week.
  • Suppressed rains across southern Angola and northern Namibia strengthen mid seasonal moisture deficits.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

16 Jan 2015 description

Heavy rainfall may lead to flooding in southeastern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Although average rains fell over the Greater Horn of Africa in late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season, combined with an erratic distribution of rains, has resulted in poor ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

15 Jan 2015 description

• Heavy rainfall has been affecting southeastern Africa since December 2014, causing floods in large parts of Malawi, Mozambique and Zimbabwe, as well as in central Madagascar.

• As of 13-15 January, nearly 70 000 people have been displaced in Malawi, while over 48 000 have been affected in Mozambique, 6 000 in Zimbabwe and 3 211 in Madagascar. On 13 January, the president of Malawi has appealed to the international community for assistance.

14 Jan 2015 description

Significantly heavy rains continue over southeastern Africa, while dryness develops across the southwest.

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain favorable for tropical cyclone development in Mozambique Channel.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

13 Jan 2015 description

Regional Overview

Madagascar In Antananarivo, the capital of Madagascar, high river levels have decreased, and most of the estimated 1,000 people evacuated have returned to their homes without major damage being reported. However, an alert remains in place.

Zambia

On 7 January, supporters of the governing Patriotic Front (PF) and the opposition United Party for National Development (UPND) clashed in the provincial town of Mongu.

13 Jan 2015 description
map UNOSAT

This map presents the estimated total rainfall accumulation for Mozambique and Zimbabwe covering the period from 07 to 12 January 2015. This total estimate was derived from the Tropical Rainfall Monitoring Mission (TRMM) precipitation dataset at a spatial resolution of approximately 0.25 degrees for this region. It is possible that precipitation levels may have been underestimated for local areas, and is not a substitute for ground station measurements.

09 Jan 2015 description

Heavy rainfall expected to continue in southeastern Africa

  1. Although good rainfall occurred over the Greater Horn of Africa in late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season, combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season, has resulted in poor ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

07 Jan 2015 description

- Large scale, heavy rainfall continues to alleviate many anomalously dry areas, but also elevates the potential for flooding in southeastern Africa.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

05 Jan 2015 description

Regional Overview

Madagascar:
Cloud masses in Mozambique Channel Cloud masses have been forming in the Mozambique Channel since 30 December 2014, however the system has since weakened. Yellow alert has been launched in 4 regions: Melaky, Menabe, Boeny and Sofia. Green alert remains in two regions: Atsimo Andrefana, Vatovavy Fitovinany.

As of 5 January 2015, cloud masses are still located on the south-western coast of Madagascar. No suspected floods have been reported in the affected districts to date.

25 Dec 2014 description

Some relief expected for abnormally dry patches in East and Southern Africa

1-. Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.
As the season is coming to an end, a recovery is unlikely.

24 Dec 2014 description
  • Needed rainfall was observed across previously dry areas in southern Africa.
  • Dry conditions prevailed across eastern Africa.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October- December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia. As the season is coming to an end, a recovery is unlikely.

19 Dec 2014 description

Abnormal dryness expected to continue in East and Southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Although good rainfall was observed over the Greater Horn of Africa in late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October December rainy season, combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season, has already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia. As the season is coming to an end, a recovery is unlikely.

17 Dec 2014 description
  • A favorable distribution of rainfall was observed over Southern Africa during the past week.

  • Seasonally-dry weather observed in Eastern Africa.

12 Dec 2014 description

Despite heavy rains in localized areas, rainfall deficits persist in East and Southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Low and poorlydistributed seasonal Deyr rains have led to growing moisture deficits and deteriorated ground conditions throughout several local areas of southern Somalia, central Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness over most parts, but rainfall deficits remain in many local areas.

10 Dec 2014 description

- After several weeks of suppressed rains, good rains are forecast in eastern Southern Africa. - Little rains expected in Eastern Africa.

1) Low and poorly-distributed seasonal OctoberDecember, Deyr, rains have led to moisture deficits and deteriorated ground conditions throughout local areas of southern Somalia, central Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness over most parts, but rainfall deficits have persisted over many localized areas.

05 Dec 2014 description

Heavy rains may lead to flooding, landslides in Central America; early season dryness continues in Southern Africa

  1. Low and poorly distributed seasonal Deyr rains have led to growing moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions throughout several local areas of southern Somalia, central Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness some dryness, but rainfall deficits remain in many local areas.