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22 Jan 2017 description

Tracking hunger and strengthening resilience

An IFPRI-Germany partnership towards sustainable development

JANUARY 20, 2017 JANNA DE LA PAZ

19 Jan 2017 description

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past several weeks has sustained moisture deficits and resulted in degraded ground conditions across many parts of Uganda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania, northern Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

14 Jan 2017 description

Highlights

  • Rains improved in many areas that were affected by severe drought last season

  • Poor rains have been received in Tanzania and parts of Madagascar, with likely impacts on crop production in affected areas

  • An armyworm outbreak has affected the region, with reports of outbreaks in Zambia,
    Zimbabwe and Malawi. The outbreak in Zambia is particularly severe

Regional Summary

12 Jan 2017 description

Introduction

The Lessons Learned Portal Project is a recommendation by participants of the February 2015 Expert Forum in Antalya, Turkey, a gathering of more than 90 participants that focused on “Lessons Learned about Lessons Learned about Hydro-meteorological Disaster Risk Reduction in a Changing Climate.”

12 Jan 2017 description

Highlights:

  • ‘Market estimates for South Africa’s 2016/17 total maize production vary between 11.7 million tons and 13.0 million tons, which is well above the previous season’s output of 7.5 million tons. If this materializes, South Africa would return to be a net exporter of maize as domestic annual consumption is just 10.5 million tons’– Agbiz, www.agbiz.co.za.) '

12 Jan 2017 description

Heavy rainfall is expected to provide relief for southeastern Africa, but will increase the risk of flooding

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

11 Jan 2017 description

HIGHLIGHTS

OCTOBER – DECEMBER 2016 RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTS

  • Since late November, the southern African summer monsoon has continued to be dominated by a dipole pattern: with suppressed rainfall in the northeastern parts of the region and Island of Madagascar, and enhanced rainfall in the southern parts of contiguous SADC.

  • Some significant above-normal rainfalls conditions were observed last past 30 days, across portions of northwestern DRC, west and south of Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe and south Mozambique.

10 Jan 2017 description

This report provides a summary of changes to regional maize availability estimates and markets in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia, and Zimbabwe (countries monitored by FEWS NET in southern Africa) as well as South Africa, Botswana, Namibia, and Swaziland. It updates FEWS NET’s Regional Maize Supply and Market Outlook Report published in August 2016.

Key Messages

06 Jan 2017 description

Insufficient rain received in many parts of Southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since December, increased locust numbers and breeding have been reported in western Mauritania, Western Sahara, and northeastern Sudan according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Below-average and erratic rainfall over the past several weeks has sustained moisture deficits and resulted in degraded ground conditions across many parts of Uganda, Kenya, bimodal and unimodal areas of Tanzania, northern Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

05 Jan 2017 description
file preview
Screenshot of the interactive content as of 05 Jan 2017.

This website allows you to explore how different scenarios of global greenhouse gas emissions and adaptation to climate change could change the geography of food insecurity in developing and least-developed countries. By altering the levels of future global greenhouse gas emissions and/or the levels of adaptation, you can see how vulnerability to food insecurity changes over time, and compare and contrast these different future scenarios with each other and the present day.

31 Dec 2016 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

29 Dec 2016 description

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Locust outbreak has continued in western Mauritania. Breeding has extended to southern Western Sahara, where limited control operations are in progress, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization.

  2. Despite some increase in rainfall during late November, poor and erratic rain since late September has resulted in droughts, which have negatively impacted crops and water availability in southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.

23 Dec 2016 description

The October-December rainfall season has performed poorly in East Africa

  1. Locust outbreak has continued in western Mauritania. Breeding has extended to southern Western Sahara, where limited control operations are in progress, according to the FAO.

  2. Poor early season rainfall has resulted in increasing moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions throughout portions of Angola, southern DRC, and northern Zambia.

22 Dec 2016 description

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Rainy season continues in Southern Africa

  • UN revises RIASCO plan due to increasing lean season needs in Madagascar, Malawi, and Zimbabwe

  • WFP anticipates break in the emergency food assistance pipeline in Madagascar

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

22 Dec 2016 description

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  • Maize plantings for 2016/17 cropping season expected to rebound to near-average levels

  • Drought-reduced 2016 harvest results in tighter maize supplies and increased import requirements in 2016/17

  • Maize prices declined, mostly on back of stronger rand and favourable production prospects for 2017 crop

**Plantings of 2017 maize crop expected to rebound*

20 Dec 2016 description
file preview
English version

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Good performance of the current growing season (October 2016 - April 2017) is critical for Southern Africa after suffering from two consecutive droughts induced by a long lasting El Nino event which led to unprecedented levels of food insecurity.

  • The current growing season is developing under a La Nina event that is forecast to be short and weak. Historical data shows that La Nina events almost always lead to favourable rainfall and better than average crop production.

19 Dec 2016 description

Foreword

Hunger is not inevitable As 2016 comes to an end, almost 130-million people are in need of humanitarian assistance. Throughout the year, natural hazards, conflict and protracted crises have placed a particularly heavy burden on the poor, who are often extremely vulnerable to shocks. Across 22-affected areas, 70-million people are currently in Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) Phase 3 or above.

15 Dec 2016 description

Highlights

  • ‘The National Crop Estimate Committee’s data showed that RSA 2016/17 total maize plantings could increase by 27% from the previous season to 2.46 million hectares (more specifically, white and yellow maize plantings could increase by 43% y/y and 8% y/y to 1.46 million and 1.01 million hectares, respectively)’ – Agbiz, www.agbiz.co.za)

11 Dec 2016 description

Welcome to the December issue of the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project’s (ACLED) Conflict Trends report. Each month, ACLED researchers gather, analyse and publish data on political violence in Africa in realtime. Weekly updates to realtime conflict event data are published on the ACLED website, and are also available through our research partners at Climate Change and African Political Stability (CCAPS).