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05 Feb 2016 description

The El Niño global climatic event has had a devastating impact on millions of people across the globe in 2015 and 2016. East Africa, Southern Africa, the Pacific Islands, South East Asia and Central America will continue to be at risk of extreme weather, including below-normal rains and flooding. The humanitarian fallout in certain areas includes increased food insecurity due to low crop yields and rising prices; higher malnutrition rates; devastated livelihoods; and forced displacement.

04 Feb 2016 description

HIGHLIGHTS
- El Niño“drought effect” likely to have a long-lasting impact as people’ resilience continues to be eroded
- Ethiopia battling worst drought in decades
- Drought, food in security and power shortages stalk southern Africa region
- Cholera, a preventable disease, kills thousands across eastern and southern Africa
- Protracted conflicts to complicate humanitarian situation
- Funding shortfalls paralyse humanitarian responses

29 Jan 2016 description

60 million PEOPLE WILL BE AFFECTED BY EL NIÑO IN THE FOUR MOST AFFECTED REGIONS

2.8 million PEOPLE REQUIRE HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE IN GUATEMALA AND HONDURAS

10.2 million PEOPLE IN NEED OF EMERGENCY FOOD IN ETHIOPIA

14 million FOOD INSECURE PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN AFRICA – EXCLUDING SOUTH AFRICA

El Niño status

24 Dec 2015 description
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Situation Overview

Abnormal rainfall patterns contributed to a spike in food insecurity in the region, which is currently affecting more than 28.5M people. This figure includes Angola (where the figures are yet to be confirmed), Madagascar (where 1,893,398 people are classified as food insecure, of which 459,319 people are severely so). These severe food insecurity conditions are likely to be exacerbated by the current El Niño which is predicted to continue and strengthen in 2015/2016.

23 Dec 2015 description

30 million FOOD INSECURE PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

22 million PEOPLE LIKELY TO SUFFER FROM FOOD INSECURITY IN EASTERN AFRICA

4.7 million PEOPLE AT RISK FROM ADVERSE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH EL NIÑO IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC

4.2 million PEOPLE ALREADY AFFECTED BY EL NIÑO-RELATED DROUGHT IN CENTRAL AMERICA

Summary

01 Dec 2015 description

The El Niño global climatic event has had a devastating impact on millions of people across the globe throughout 2015. East Africa, Southern Africa, the Pacific Islands, South East Asia and Central America will continue to be at risk of extreme weather, including below-normal rains and flooding, in early 2016. The humanitarian fallout in certain areas will include increased food insecurity due to low crop yields and rising prices; higher malnutrition rates; devastated livelihoods; and forced displacement.

20 Nov 2015 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Abnormal rainfall patterns during 2014/2015 have contributed to a spike in food insecurity, which is currently affecting at least 27.4 m people regionally (and this excludes Angola, which has yet to publish official figures; and Madagascar, which did not present to SADC, but where 1.9 m people are food insecure, of which 460,000 people are severely so). In Malawi and Zimbabwe, 2.8 m and 1.5 m people are food insecure respectively.

17 Nov 2015 description

Summary Results / Findings
• The production season delayed by between 30 to 40 days due to late onset of rains.
• The country then received heavy and continuous rains between end December and first two weeks of January,2015; resulting in widespread floods and wash-aways. (The head of State declared a national disaster covering 15 of 28 districts; on 13th January, 2015.)
• The Floods were followed by dry-spells between February & March, 2015; destroying crops before maturity.

24 Sep 2015 description

SARCOF forecast

From October to December 2015, the entire region is expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. For the remainder of the season - December 2015 to March 2016 - the southern half of the region is expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall, while the northern half is expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Northern and central Madagascar is expected to receive above-normal rainfall, the great south is expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.

23 Sep 2015 description

SARCOF forecast

From October to December 2015, the entire region is expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall. For the remainder of the season - December 2015 to March 2016 - the southern half of the region is expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall, while the northern half is expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Northern and central Madagascar is expected to receive above-normal rainfall, the great south is expected to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.

02 Sep 2015 description

Regional Overview

Tanzania

A cholera outbreak in Tanzania is affected the areas of Dar es Salaam, Morogoro, Iringa and Pwani. As of 30 August 2015, there have been 459 cases and 9 deaths in Dar es Salaam, 69 cases and 5 deaths in Morogoro, 2 cases in Iringa and 16 cases and 1 death in Pwani.

Madagascar

24 Aug 2015 description

Regional Overview

Lesotho

On 19 August the SADC Double Troika reaffirmed the current terms of reference for the SADC Commission of Inquiry into the death of army chief Mahao, stating that the TORs are broad enough to accommodate the issues raised by the Government and opposition parties.

19 Aug 2015 description

Regional Overview

Madagascar:

The preliminary results of the municipal elections were published by the National Election Independent Committee, with the HVM (the ruling party) winning 60% of municipalities hence the the majority. The TIM (former President Ravalomanana’s party) came second with approximately 17% of municipalities. The MAPAR (former High Transitional Authority President Rajoelina's party) won 10% of municipalities while independent candidates got 13% of municipalities.

04 Aug 2015 description

Regional Overview

Madagascar

The municipal elections of 31 July was generally peaceful despite a number of irregularities reported. No official results have been published, but preliminary information indicates that the party of former President Marc Ravalomanana, TIM, won the capital Antananarivo, and the party of the former President of the Transition Andry Rajoelina, MAPAR, who won in others major cities. The political party of the current President is expected to win in rural areas.

Lesotho