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10 Aug 2017 description

Despite heavy rains in other parts of East Africa, dryness remains in northern Ethiopia and Eritrea

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Several weeks of above-normal rainfall has led to saturated ground conditions and increased the risk of flooding in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. Heavy rainfall is forecast over the region during early August.

28 Jul 2017 description

Flooding observed in Nigeria and heavy rain continues in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan

  1. Below-average rainfall since mid-May has led to abnormal dryness across eastern Uganda and southwestern Kenya. Moisture deficits are likely to negatively impact cropping and Pastoral activities.

  2. Repeated weeks of very heavy, above-normal rains have oversaturated the ground in parts of Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. More heavy rain during the next week is likely to cause further flooding.

21 Jul 2017 description

Continued heavy rainfall causes ooding in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since mid-May has led to abnormal dryness across eastern Uganda and southwestern Kenya. Moisture deficits are likely to negatively impact cropping and Pastoral activities.

  2. Repeated weeks of very heavy, above-normal rains have oversaturated the ground in parts of Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. More heavy rain during the next week is likely to cause further flooding.

16 Jun 2017 description

Rainfall continues over most of West Africa and northern East Africa

  1. Below-average rainfall since late February has resulted in moisture deficits throughout many parts of southern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Somalia, and northern Tanzania.

  2. Limited rainfall since March has led to developing moisture deficits across parts of Liberia, Cote d’Ivoire, and southern Guinea.

09 Jun 2017 description

Dryness remains in parts of East Africa, while early season rains continue over lower Sahel

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since late February has resulted in moisture deficits throughout many parts of southern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Somalia, and northern Tanzania.

  2. Limited rainfall since March has led to developing moisture deficits across parts of Liberia, Cote d’Ivoire, and southern Guinea.

Central Asia Weather Hazards

02 Jun 2017 description

Despite increased rainfall in northern Ethiopia, Somalia and south-eastern Ethiopia remain dry

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since late February has resulted in moisture deficits throughout many parts of southern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Somalia, and northern Tanzania.
  2. Limited rainfall since March has led to developing moisture deficits across parts of Liberia, Cote d’Ivoire, and southern Guinea.

Central Asia Weather Hazards

26 May 2017 description

Drought-like conditions continue across Kenya, Somalia, and southern Ethiopia

  1. Below-average rainfall since late February has resulted in moisture deficits throughout many parts of southern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia,
    Somalia, and northern Tanzania.

  2. Several consecutive weeks of below-average rainfall has led to early season moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions in parts of Ghana.

19 May 2017 description

Despite recent seasonal rainfall, moisture deficits remain in central Kenya and Somalia

  1. Following rains during early March, significant long-term moisture deficits remain throughout central and eastern Madagascar.

  2. Inconsistent rainfall since late December has led to continued dryness across many parts of western Angola.

01 Dec 2016 description

Global Overview NOVEMBER 2016

02 Nov 2016 description

Global Overview OCTOBER 2016

08 Oct 2016 description

Flood and landslide threats will continue after Matthew hit the Hispaniola region hard

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Prolonged heavy rainfall during the season throughout the Niger River basin has triggered flooding and inundation along the Niger River in Mali, Niger, and Nigeria. Seasonal Inundation is also expected to be greater than it has been for many years across the inner Niger delta in Mali

30 Sep 2016 description

Tropical cyclone Matthew expected to impact Hispaniola

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Prolonged heavy rainfall during the season throughout the Niger River basin has triggered flooding and inundation along the Niger River in Mali, Niger, and Nigeria. Seasonal Inundation is also expected to be greater than it has been for many years across the inner Niger delta in Mali.

  2. Low and poorly distributed seasonal rainfall across parts of central Senegal and The Gambia have led to strengthening moisture deficits.

02 Sep 2016 description

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

Global Overview, August 2016

12 Aug 2016 description

Flooding risks remain over East and West Africa, while Central America remains drier than normal

Africa Weather Hazards

06 Aug 2016 description

The passage of Tropical Storm EARL expected to partially mitigate dryness over Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Consistent and aboveaverage rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, likely to elevate the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially resulting in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

01 Jul 2016 description

Global Overview – Trends and Outlook

01 Jul 2016 description

Little relief to dryness expected over Guatemala and Honduras

Africa Weather Hazards

24 Jun 2016 description

Substantial rain returned to Uganda and the Lake Victoria region this past week

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Low and infrequent rainfall since late March has resulted in drought across parts of southeastern Kenya and northeastern Tanzania. The potential for recovery remains unlikely.

  2. Consistently below-normal rainfall over the past 4 weeks has resulted in abnormal dryness for portions of Uganda and western Kenya. This pattern has resulted in low soil moisture and poor vegetation health index values.

04 Jun 2016 description

Strategic Assessment

The global terrorist threat continued to evolve rapidly in 2015, becoming increasingly decentralized and diffuse. Terrorist groups continued to exploit an absence of credible and effective state institutions, where avenues for free and peaceful expression of opinion were blocked, justice systems lacked credibility, and where security force abuses and government corruption went unchecked.