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24 Apr 2015 description

Little rainfall expected over atypically dry areas of northern Ethiopia

  1. Erratic, below-average rainfall in February and early March, followed by four consecutive weeks of little to no rainfall since mid-March has led to large moisture deficits and rapidly deteriorating ground conditions in Ethiopia. The absence of mid-season rainfall is likely to adversely affect cropping activities in Belg-producing areas of the country.

20 Apr 2015 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR OCTOBER 2015

17 Apr 2015 description

Belg rainfall remains delayed in Ethiopia, dryness worsens in Malawi and Mozambique

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Rainfall continues to be below-average across several local areas of southwestern and east-central Ethiopia. Further delay of rainfall during April is likely to adversely affect cropping activities for several Belgproducing areas.

10 Apr 2015 description

Abnormal dryness persists in central Ethiopia and bi-modal Tanzania

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Despite an increase in rainfall during the last week, ground moisture remains below average parts of southwestern and east-central Ethiopia. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast in southern and western Ethiopia, while below-average rainfall is expected in the central parts of the country during the next week.

03 Apr 2015 description

Abnormal dryness continues to develop in central Ethiopia and bi-modal Tanzania

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Despite an increase in rainfall during the last week, ground moisture remains below average parts of southwestern and east-central Ethiopia. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast in southern and western Ethiopia, while below-average rainfall is expected in the central parts of the country during the next week.

02 Apr 2015 description

Key Messages

In West Africa, market availability was adequate in February, with supplies from recent 2014/15 harvests and international rice and wheat imports. Staple food prices were stable or declining, except in areas directly and indirectly affected by the conflict in northeastern Nigeria. The recent opening of borders among Ebola-affected countries contributed to improved trade flows in some areas, following disruptions over the second half of 2014.

01 Apr 2015 description

Normal development of wheat crop throughout the country

KEY MESSAGES

  • Most of the country has received significant precipitation from late February through March. Snowpack in most basins monitored is now near-average, with above-average accumulation in parts of the east and north. The availability of water for irrigation during 2015 growing seasons is likely to be near-average. Average to above-average precipitation is expected through May, supporting normal to early development of winter and spring grain crops.

01 Apr 2015 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

27 Mar 2015 description

Late season dryness spreads across much of Southern Africa

  1. Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia.
    Rainfall forecast during the next week should help alleviate deficits.

  2. Below-average rainfall over bi-modal northern Tanzania during the past several weeks has increased rainfall deficits and affected crop conditions. A significant increase in rainfall is expected across Tanzania and neighboring countries in late March.

21 Mar 2015 description

Dryness extends across much of Southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia.
    Rainfall forecast during the next week should help alleviate deficits.

  2. Below-average rainfall over the past several weeks has increased rainfall deficits, which have impeded crop development across the bimodal region of northern Tanzania. Little to no rainfall is forecast during the next week, which may worsen the situation.

13 Mar 2015 description

Abnormal dryness continues in much of southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since February has resulted in rainfall deficits in southwestern Ethiopia. Dry weather is expected to continue during the next week, which is likely to increase moisture deficits in the region.

13 Mar 2015 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population is compared to last year and the recent five-year average. Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

06 Mar 2015 description

Heavy rainfall continues in Malawi, Madagascar; seasonal rainfall slow to start in southwestern Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since mid-December, consistently heavy rainfall has occurred over southern Malawi and central/ northern Mozambique. Above-average rain forecast for the next week will keep flooding risks elevated.

01 Mar 2015 description

Key Messages

  • In West Africa, regional harvests from the 2014/15 season arrived progressively onto markets in January. Staple food prices were stable or declining, except in areas directly and indirectly affected by the conflict in northeastern Nigeria. The recent opening of borders among Ebola-affected countries contributed to improved trade flows in some areas, following the substantial disruptions that occurred over the second half of 2014.

28 Feb 2015 description

Households in Badghis Province enter lean season with lower reserves than normal

KEY MESSAGES

  • Precipitation since the wet season began in October has been well below-average in most of Afghanistan through February. Although irrigation water will likely be sufficient for crops located in upstream areas, there is a risk that shortages may affect crops in areas further downstream during the primary March to July growing season.

28 Feb 2015 description

Wheat is the staple food for most Afghans, comprising more than 70 percent of their diet. Low-quality rice is a poor, but sometimes necessary, substitute. All markets represent significant population centers and consumer markets. Kabul, the capital, supplies the central provinces and is a transit point between the north, south, east, and west. Jalalabad supplies the eastern part of the country and acts as a cross-border market with Pakistan. Mazar-e-Sarif supplies northern provinces and, in a good year, the southern provinces as well.

27 Feb 2015 description

Dryness continues across much of southern Africa, flooding risks remain over Mozambique, Malawi and Madagascar

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since mid-December, consistently heavy rainfall has occurred over southern Malawi and central/ northern Mozambique. Above-average rain forecast for the next week will keep flooding risks elevated. 2 Poorly distributed rainfall has resulted in mid-season dryness across eastern Botswana, northern South Africa, central/southern Mozambique, and central/southern Zimbabwe. Dryness is forecast to continue next week.

20 Feb 2015 description

Rainfall deficits expected to worsen in South Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

13 Feb 2015 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population is compared to last year and the recent five-year average. Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.